Great depression Youtube.
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When inflation deflation?
To answer the question of whether we have inflation or deflation in the next years, we need an understanding of what these terms mean, and also what money is.
The money is now debt. However, debt is money. The expansion of the money in our economy not by increasing productivity, it by increased debt. The expansion of money / debt has increased exponentially due to demand banks use the reserve fractional ratio of 9:01. If you are not familiar with these ideas, we strongly recommend you watch Paul Grignon Presentation 47 minutes of animation, "Money as debt, on YouTube.
A simple way to explain the credit crisis would be to consider the amount of interest pay on the debt has become a figure higher than the population could win. So by default and the beginning of the subprime crisis and the toxic assets held by banks. Why are they called toxic? Because people who were the original receivable loans can not pay.
This explanation fits well with the principle of Elliott Wave. The final stages of the bubble inflating debt has been driven by group psychology. The debt has become easier obtaining, buying a house, stocks, television now, no deposit, interest free for 18 months, offered to almost everyone.
The expansion of money / debt is inflationary. As the amount of money circulating in a system increases, the perceived value of each note decreases. Like if you were to add water to an alcoholic beverage, it becomes less concentrated with alcohol, there is less value for money when it is diluted. So, it takes more to make him buy the same thing.
The opposite of this situation is that we started to see, and see more extreme in the years to come. The fear has been installed on top of an inflationary cycle and more people continue to default on their debts. Therefore, the willingness of banks to extend credit decreases. And because money is a debt reduction credit, we reduce the money supply. When there is less money than we have provided deflation, which is reducing the value of things (very simply).
Other examples of deflation, stock market, a maximum of 14,157 in October 2007, the Dow Jones dropped to a low of 6.715 in March 2009; property world markets have plunged, oil has fallen from a peak of 137.11 dollars a barrel in July 2008, to a low of $ 34.57 in January 2009. numerous consumer goods have become cheaper and the CPI in many countries shows negative numbers for the first time since the Great Depression.
Since markets have increased many of these depressions, but it is a bear market rally. Deflation will return because the underlying fear and pessimism is still there.
Because most of us have not experienced deflation in our lives, we must be prepared. If Wondering how to protect your family and your property deflation, you would be well advised to read Robert Prechter of the conquer the crash, which he describes very clearly what deflation is, how it affects you and what you can do to not only avoid negative consequences, but also to prosper.
About the Author
Elliott Wave Principle practitioner, forex trader, and reporter on current economic and socionomic events.
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